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By Raan (Harvard alumni)

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By Raan (Harvard alumni)

What will the BRK B share price be in 2025 Berkshire Hathaway price forecast

What will the BRK B share price be in 2025 Berkshire Hathaway price forecast

What will the BRK B share price be in 2025? Berkshire Hathaway price forecast

Thinking about the Berkshire Hathaway stock price for 2025? The most valuable answer isn’t a single number—it’s understanding the simple, powerful idea behind Warren Buffett’s empire that most people get wrong. To look ahead, you have to know what you’re looking at.

First, let’s clear up the confusing BRK.A vs. BRK.B stock difference. Think of the company as one giant pizza (the “A” share), which costs hundreds of thousands of dollars. To make it affordable for more people, that pizza was sliced into thousands of smaller, more accessible “B” shares. You’re buying a piece of the same company, just in a more manageable portion.

With that settled, what are you actually buying? Unlike a company that sells one thing, Berkshire Hathaway is a collection of entire businesses it owns outright. The health of this unique family of companies is the real secret to making a sensible forecast.

What Is Berkshire Hathaway Really? (Hint: It’s Not Just a Stock)

When you hear about Berkshire Hathaway, it’s easy to picture a company that simply buys and sells stocks. While it does own large stakes in public companies, that’s only part of the story. Berkshire isn’t one single business—it’s a massive collection of them, making it what’s known as a holding company.

Think of a holding company like a shopping cart. Instead of just putting a few shares of a company in the cart, Berkshire often buys the entire company and puts it in its cart to own forever. You are almost certainly a customer of a Berkshire-owned business. Its portfolio includes:

  • GEICO car insurance
  • Duracell batteries
  • Dairy Queen
  • See’s Candies
  • BNSF Railway (one of America’s largest railroads)

This structure is the key to understanding Berkshire’s power. By owning businesses outright, it doesn’t just bet on a stock ticker; it controls the actual companies, guiding them for long-term health and profitability. This foundation of owning real, productive assets is the secret to its legendary stability.

What is Berkshire’s “Economic Moat” and Why Does it Matter?

Warren Buffett famously looks for companies with a durable competitive advantage, a concept he calls an economic moat. Imagine a strong castle protected by a wide, deep moat. For a business, this moat isn’t water; it’s a special advantage that keeps competitors at bay, protecting the company’s long-term profits.

This advantage can come in many forms. For a Berkshire company like GEICO, the moat is its massive brand recognition built over decades of advertising. A new competitor simply can’t match that name recognition overnight. For its BNSF Railway, the moat is the physical railroad tracks—it would be nearly impossible for a rival to build a competing network. This focus on protected businesses is a cornerstone of value investing.

Grasping this concept is crucial for evaluating the stock. A wide economic moat allows Berkshire’s businesses to remain stable and profitable for years, even in a tough economy. This stability is the foundation for the company’s long-term outlook for Berkshire Hathaway, providing a source of steady growth that contrasts sharply with the volatility of other stocks.

How Analysts Try to Predict the BRK.B Share Price

Given Berkshire’s stable businesses and wide moats, how do experts decide what the stock is actually worth? Analysts don’t have a crystal ball. Instead of relying on hype, they look for clues about the company’s fundamental health, much like a doctor checking a patient’s vital signs. A price target is simply the end result of this detective work.

When trying to value Berkshire Hathaway stock, they focus on a few key factors:

  1. Are its businesses like GEICO and the railroad making more money?
  2. Is its huge cash pile being used to buy new companies?
  3. Is the company buying back its own stock?

That last point, a stock buyback, is a powerful signal. It’s when the company uses its own cash to buy its own shares, showing management’s confidence that the current price is a good deal. Analysts also watch book value—the company’s net worth on paper—to help gauge if the stock is trading at a fair price relative to what the company owns.

The forecast for BRK.B depends more on the real-world performance of its many companies than on market trends. But one giant factor looms over any prediction: what happens after Warren Buffett?

The Big Risk: What Happens After Warren Buffett?

It’s the question on every investor’s mind: what is the long-term outlook for Berkshire Hathaway when its legendary leader is no longer at the helm? This is arguably the biggest risk of investing in BRK.B. Aware of this, the company has a formal succession plan—an official roadmap for who will take over. The goal is to ensure the company’s culture and success don’t depend on just one person.

For years, Berkshire has been preparing for this transition. Warren Buffett has already named his successor for the CEO role: Greg Abel, who currently oversees all of Berkshire’s non-insurance businesses. He works alongside Ajit Jain, who manages the massive insurance operations. These two leaders have been running huge parts of the company for years, earning Buffett’s consistent praise as the right people to carry the company forward.

The core idea is that the system Buffett built—a decentralized structure that lets great businesses run themselves—is the true star. While no one can replace Buffett’s unique genius, the succession plan is designed to keep the company’s successful investing philosophy intact. The strategy of buying wonderful businesses at a fair price is intended to outlast any single leader.

What This All Means For Your Money: A Final Look at the Forecast

Understanding the businesses behind Berkshire Hathaway—from railways to insurance—is more important than any single price target. It changes how you might compare its performance against the S&P 500. Investing in BRK.B is like buying one reliable SUV you trust for decades. An S&P 500 fund is like owning a small piece of every car at the dealership—the dependable and the flashy. It’s a choice between a focused bet on quality and a broad bet on the entire market.

Ultimately, the real question isn’t ‘is BRK.B a good buy now?’ or what its 5-year projection might be. The decision is whether owning a collection of steady, long-term businesses with durable competitive advantages is the right fit for the future you are building.

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By Raan (Harvard alumni)

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